A somewhat abbreviated edition of the Fallen Premiums this week, given we’ve just experienced our first price changes of the year. It seems a lot of the good players are playing well, while the few that aren’t still have a bit further to fall before they become viable trade targets. However, I have managed to pick out a few names to take note of, particularly for those of you who’ve got the irrits with an underperforming premo in your team and are looking for a sneaky sideways trade.
Jeremy HOWE (COL), $496 600 (-$600), average 97, BE 90 – Jumpin’ Jeremy hasn’t always been noted as a consistent scorer in the past, but opening his season with scores of 89, 99 and 103 is encouraging. Howe has gone at 90+ ppg for the past three seasons in a row, and someone with his contested marking ability is more than capable of hitting that standard again in 2019.
Backing it up…..
Kade Simpson, $517K, BE 170
Rory Laird, $556K, BE 154
James Sicily, $544K, BE 144
Zach MERRETT (ESS), $533 400 (-$11.4K), average 98, BE 86 – A pre-season Supercoach favourite until suffering a “nasty knee injury”, as reported by Dr Tom Browne in January (it was actually a sprained ankle). Merrett came under heavy fire for his lacklustre round 1 performance, but scores of 109 and 120 since then have Zach back in the sights of savvy coaches. Now a huge POD at less than 4% ownership, Merrett is a proven scorer and exceptional value.
Stephen Coniglio, $571K, BE 182
Dustin Martin, $520K, BE 180
Nat Fyfe, $605K, BE 169
Elliot Yeo, $539K, BE 160
No notable fallen premiums in the ruck department just yet, although Ben McEvoy ($554K, average 109, BE 100) is definitely an under-rated point of difference early in the season.
Max Gawn, $657K, BE 144
Toby Nankervis, $524K, BE 142
Isaac HEENEY (SYD), $519 200 (-$10.0K), average 96, BE 101 – Show of hands, who flicked Isaac last week? Unfortunately more than 22,000 coaches watched on in horror as Heeney rediscovered his touch in round 3, burning the Blues for four goals and 137 points. His price tag still dropped ten grand, but Heeney faces the porous Demons defence on Thursday night, making his break-even very gettable.
Robbie GRAY (PTA), $516 100 (-$9.4K), average 96, BE 107 – The bad news is that Robbie is still spending a significant amount of game time in the forward line, with 38% of his disposals in the F50 in 2019. The good news: he’s still scoring well anyway! Recording 91, 106 and 91 in his three games so far, Gray is playing well in a team that is playing a new brand of fast, free-flowing footy, and faces the severely under-manned Tigers at home this weekend.
Justin Westhoff, $510K, BE 214
Lance Franklin, $487K, BE 148
David Mundy, $479K, BE 142
Josh Dunkley, $494K, BE 135
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