Afternoon, all. This is easily the most challenging captaincy write up I’ve done in a while. Auto-VC Satan is out of commission, Bont will play but is coming off a minor issue, Zerrett will get tagged by O’Neil and Daicos by Scott and Tingles comes up against Witts. With the obvious omission of Satan all those guys (Bont, Zerrett, Daicos & Tingles) can still technically be VC’d but are really sub-optimal this week. As such, there won’t be a designated Steer Clear this week but rather this little preamble noting their issues: Bont = a bit tender, Tingles = vs Witts, Daicos = tagged by Scott & Zerrett = tagged by O’Neil. Of the four, Zerrett and Daicos are firm steer clears. O’Neil and Scott both tagged last week very effectively and Zerrett and Daicos present are clear go to’s. Tingles’ around the ground work will still see him ton but not having an easy ruck economy clamps his ceiling. Bont is a god, of course, but one I’d limit to just the VC and not C this week if you can help it. The Crows and Lions are also crashing into each this round. Accordingly, this week’s format and crop of candidates are a little different.
SAINTS v Hawks
- Steele: 108 
- Sinclair 115 
- Marshall: 112 
*L3 v Hawk AVG [L3 @ MRVL AVG]
Yes, a whole team! The Hawks were made to look like a premiership outfit last week but still remain a nice opponent to crash into. Even their elevated clearance work forces a lot of CPs and repeat stoppages. As such, Steele was sturdy last week and will be required to fire on all cylinders with Day, Worpel and Nash more than capable of getting the drop on the Saints’ midfield early. Sinclair was fantastic last week with 37 touches @ 83% DE and two goals and on form and opponent will go well. Finally RoMo has had a capital month and with the Hawks down to just Meek the ruck restrictiveness should be gone. All three Saints here go 120, take your pick.
SERONG v Dees
- L3 v Dees: 87, 75, 101 (88 av.)
- L3 @ MCG: 75, 65, 101 (80 av.)
The way the Dees open up the game and force a true midfield battle makes them a great opponent – recall Butters last week, Anderson’s 189 and Taranto’s 144. With Satan now out, any MID v Dees is a sure fire VC/C. Serong (assuming he’s fine after light duties yesterday) solid for 135 and even that bum Brayshaw will ton.
STEWART v Giants
- L3 v Giants: 74, 107, 100 (94 av.)
- L3 @ GMHBA: 99, 111, 106 (105 av.)
I’m here and I’m there with this call. Unlocks that ceiling at GMHBA and the Giants just let a HB in Sinclair smoke them for 160 last week. Only problem might be that because of that fact (Sinclair baking them) they’ll look to cut off HB supply this week. The Giants also tried to open with O’Halloran on Sinclair but abandoned it early. Left alone he’ll go 130+ pretty easily, just a matter of whether you back him to escape attention.
GREEN v Cats
- L3 v Cats: 96, 41 (69 av.)
- L3 @ GMHBA: 41 (41 av.)
Would really need a classy outing from the young man away from home but the Cats run a high rotation midfield so can see GWS actually getting first use a fair bit. Solid for 120, especially if he’s CP work is on point early. Only played at GMHBA once in his first year, so really is a diceroll but potentially one worth making given the scant options this week.
ROZEE v Tigers
- L3 v Port: 67, 76, 47 (63 av.)
- L3 @ MCG: 92, 119, 76 (96 av.)
Tigers’ midfield remains as juicy as ever to VC/C into. Rozee, Butters and JHF will dance around the center square for 120s all round.
LAIRD v Lions
- L3 v Lions: 142, 129, 86 (119 av.)
- L3 @ AO: 98, 100, 135 (111 av.)
Baird was sensational last week even in a crushing loss against a high quality midfield with 34 touches, 10 tackles and 16 contested. Probably the saftest option this week. A lock for 125.
DAWSON v Lions
- L3 v Lions: 107, 79, 64 (83 av.)
- L3 @ AO: 89, 150, 152 (130 av.)
Didn’t find the space he’s become accustomed to and got boxed into a lot of errors by the rampant Dogs. Lions of a similar midfield profile but back Dawson to steady himself and the Crows to retune their connection going I50, which has been a great scoring stream for Dawson. Returns to 120+.
DUNKLEY v Crows
- L3 v Crows: 142, 65, 88 (98 av.)
- L3 @ AO: 108, 78, 116 (101 av.)
Running a 3 round average of 135, Dunks carries some real clout as a candidate this week just on form. Doesn’t stoop below a low-ton but does 130 if the Lions come to town and bring the heat.
WALSH v Swans
- L3 v Swans: 133, 90, 161 (128 av.)
- L3 @ SCG: 90, 103 (97 av.)
Finally, as a smoky, we’ve got Walsh. The Blues are heinous, having lost their midfield potency, but the Swans aren’t much better. Pretty much tank their season if they don’t win here so Walsh will be head down jets on for 120 off a really nice history. Similar proposition with Gulden for those interested.
- Round 1: Green 132
- Round 2: Baird 147
- Round 3: Satan 156
- Round 4: Tingles 145
- Round 5: Tingles 137
- Round 6: Miller 40
- Round 7: Satan 134
- Round 8: Satan 136
- Round 9: Tingles 88
- Round 10: RoMo 126
What a week, right? At this stage I’ve locked Baird in as a C – consistency, was mega last week, plays at home and shown he can step up to a big midfield. A Saints VC then makes sense but didn’t like how they underestimated the Giants last week and the Hawks could really turn up this week buoyed by a 100 point win – maybe it’s not a soft kill for the Saints trio? Stewart and Green are too slim propositions though. Argh! So tough. RoMo into Baird at the present but watch one of the logically ruled out/asteriked Bont, Tingles, Daicos & Zerrett defy an appropriate read and pop off.
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