(Written & Created By Adam)
Can Kreuzer find his 2017 form again?
Premium history (Avg>95):
2013: 97.88 from 16
2017: 109.81 from 21
Avg at Venue:
Marvel: 92.57 from 14 (7/14 below 100, 4/14 120+)
2013: 88.5 from 8
2017: 98 from 6
MCG: 110.07 from 14 (4/14 below 100, 6/14 120+)
2013: 111.75 from 4
2017: 109.4 from 10
Interstate: 115 from 9 (3/9 below 100, 5/9 120+)
2013: 102.75 from 4
2017: 124.8 from 5
Marvel Wins: 111.5 from 6 (2/6 below 100, 3/6 120+)
2013: 112 from 4
2017: 110.5 from 2
Marvel Losses: 78.38 from 8 (5/8 below 100, 1/8 120+)
2013: 65 from 4
2017: 91.75 from 4
MCG Wins: 107.67 from 3 (1/3 below 100, 1/3 120+)
2013: 0 from 0
2017: 107.67 from 3
MCG Losses: 110.73 from 11 (3/11 below 100, 6/11 120+)
2013: 111.75 from 4
2017: 110.14 from 7
Wins: 110.46 from 13 (5/13 below 100, 6/13 120+)
2013: 106.86 from 7
2017: 114.67 from 6
Losses: 101.5 from 24 (9/24 below 100, 9/24 120+)
2013: 90.89 from 9
2017: 107.87 from 15
Pre Bye: 95.67 from 18 (8/18 below 100, 5/18 120+)
2013: 88.11 from 9
2017: 103.22 from 9
Post Bye: 113.16 from 19 (6/19 below 100, 10/19 120+)
2013: 110.43 from 7
2017: 114.75 from 12
SC 2018: 79.75 from 12
Marvel Avg: 49 from 2 (2/2 below 100)
MCG Avg: 77.2 from 5 (4/5 below 100, 1/5 120+)
Interstate Avg: 83.5 from 4 (3/4 below 100)
Marvel Wins Avg: 0 from 0
Marvel Losses Avg: 49 from 2 (2/2 below 100)
MCG Wins Avg: 127 from 1
MCG Losses Avg: 64.75 from 4 (4/4 below 100)
Wins Avg: 127 from 1
Losses Avg: 75.45 from 11 (9/11 below 100, 1/11 120+)
Pre Bye Avg: 90.75 from 8 (5/8 below 100, 2/8 120+)
Post Bye Avg: 57.75 from 4 (4/4 below 100)
2018 Stat Averages:
Disposals: 13.25
Kicks: 8.25
Handballs: 5
Marks: 2
Contested Possessions: 8.42
Tackles: 3.42
Clangers: 2.33
Hitouts: 23
Hitouts to Advantage: 5.58
HTA Rate%: 24.28%
Time on Ground%: 71.17%
Disposal Efficiency%: 53.46%
Contested Possession Rate%: 63.92%
Premium career stat averages:
Disposals:
2013: 11.94
2017: 15.29
Kicks:
2013: 7.06
2017: 9.81
Handballs:
2013: 4.88
2017: 5.48
Marks:
2013: 3.5
2017: 3.29
Contested Possessions:
2013: 6.69
2017: 9.81
Tackles:
2013: 4.19
2017: 5.10
Clangers:
2013: 1.31
2017: 2.38
Hitouts:
2013: 25.38
2017: 31.67
Hitouts to Advantage:
2013: 6.19
2017: 9
HTA Rate%:
2013: 24.38%
2017: 28.42%
Time on Ground %:
2013: 82%
2017: 84.76%
Disposal Efficiency%:
2013: 64.92%
2017: 57.94%
Contested Possession Rate%:
2013: 54.04%
2017: 63.78%
Observations:
8.96 win/loss differential with both seasons wins average exceeding 105.
17.49 post bye/pre-bye avg differential with both post byes exceeding 110.
One of the most injury affected players in the competition, Kreuzer only managed 12 games for a 79.75 average in 2018 after averaging just under 110 in 2017 and has managed 171 out of a possible 242 games across his career thus highlighting his durability concerns.
Historically he records a poor Hitouts to Advantage rate evident by achieving less than 25% in 2018 and only 28.42% in 2017. This is partially offset by his work around the ground primarily his contested game (contested possessions and tackles) and amassing above average disposals for a ruckman. With Gawn and Grundy’s astronomical 2018 averages, Kreuzer is very enticing as a discounted or stepping stone option for the first 6-10 rounds to allow Gawn/Grundy to be picked up later.
Verdict: Consider as R2 stepping stone
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One thing to keep in mind if you’re thinking about Kreuzer is that there has been a suggestion that playing two rucks may be back in vogue this year.
In 2016, when he usually shared the ruck duties with Andrew Phillips, Kreuzer averaged 73.
Just confirms for me that he’s not worth having!
Thanks Adam!