Hi Everybody!
Here is the third batch of forwards. Standard re-reminding people, this is just my personal guessing, and not anything derived from math.
Luke Dahlhaus
Year | Games | Average | Age | TLA |
2011 | 11 | 65.6 | 18 | |
2012 | 17 | 83.9 | 19 | |
2013 | 22 | 79 | 20 | |
2014 | 21 | 91.7 | 21 | 95 |
2015 | 22 | 104.5 | 22 | 95 |
2016 | 17 | 95.7 | 23 | 95 |
2017 | 22 | 90.7 | 24 | 95 |
2018 | 17 | 77.1 | 25 | 83 |
2019 | 21 | 85.1 | 26 | 83 |
80-88 | 83 |
As a cat, he plays little midfield and seems to be a solid low 80s forward. Used to be relevant, not he is maybe a cheap pickup in an emergency. Still a fine player, just not that useful to Supercoachers. His great name is still there of course.
Tom Lynch
Year | Games | Average | Age | TLA |
2010 | 1 | 10 | 18 | |
2011 | 5 | 52.2 | 19 | |
2012 | 6 | 43.8 | 20 | |
2013 | 17 | 79.2 | 21 | |
2014 | 8 | 61.9 | 22 | |
2015 | 21 | 88.4 | 23 | 86 |
2016 | 21 | 87.5 | 24 | 86 |
2017 | 20 | 85.7 | 25 | 85 |
2018 | 17 | 80.5 | 26 | 85 |
2019 | 16 | 84.7 | 27 | 84 |
80-87 | 83 |
Tom is just what he looks like at this point, meaning a forward who averages about 85. If he has a series of bad games and gets very cheap he could be a discount pickup.
Jack Darling
Year | Games | Average | Age | TLA |
2011 | 20 | 69.5 | 18 | |
2012 | 22 | 75.9 | 19 | |
2013 | 21 | 76.6 | 20 | |
2014 | 22 | 80.1 | 21 | |
2015 | 12 | 83.8 | 22 | |
2016 | 22 | 75.4 | 23 | |
2017 | 21 | 72.4 | 24 | |
2018 | 18 | 86.9 | 25 | 85 |
2019 | 22 | 84.5 | 26 | 85 |
82-88 | 85 |
He went for over 95 a game after Round 7 on, when you could have picked him up for $338,600. I still regret not jumping on him then. At 27 he can be expected to do about what he did the last few seasons. If he gets cheap again, this time, I will no fail.
Shane Edwards
Year | Games | Average | Age | TLA |
2007 | 16 | 49 | 18 | |
2008 | 16 | 53.6 | 19 | |
2009 | 15 | 53.8 | 20 | |
2010 | 22 | 75 | 21 | |
2011 | 20 | 62 | 22 | |
2012 | 20 | 80.7 | 23 | 83 |
2013 | 19 | 78.2 | 24 | 84 |
2014 | 22 | 84.8 | 25 | 85 |
2015 | 15 | 91.3 | 26 | 85 |
2016 | 19 | 76.4 | 27 | 85 |
2017 | 17 | 75.4 | 28 | 84 |
2018 | 22 | 86.7 | 29 | 84 |
2019 | 21 | 84.3 | 30 | 83 |
79-86 | 81 |
Now playing Frogger. Not too old for a lucky good season, but no reason to take him over so many younger guys.
Jade Gresham
Year | Games | Average | Age | TLA |
2016 | 18 | 61.3 | 18 | |
2017 | 22 | 66.3 | 19 | |
2018 | 22 | 79.1 | 20 | 79 |
2019 | 19 | 84.1 | 21 | 84 |
85-93 | 89 |
One of the guys I’d take over Edwards. Natural growth should give him at least a bit of a bump up. Might only be a bit though, in which case you get a 87 average and not the 95 we would hope for. No way I know of to predict how much better he will get. Some. Well, I predict some. Big help I know.
Mitchell Wallis
Year | Games | Average | Age | TLA |
2011 | 6 | 54 | 18 | |
2012 | 19 | 87.3 | 19 | |
2013 | 18 | 71.6 | 20 | |
2014 | 13 | 63.4 | 21 | |
2015 | 19 | 98.5 | 22 | 89 |
2016 | 17 | 87.1 | 23 | 89 |
2017 | 12 | 87.8 | 24 | 89 |
2018 | 18 | 91.9 | 25 | 89 |
2019 | 10 | 83.7 | 26 | 89 |
80-88 | 88 |
Very much a Bevo type magnet, who should play forward more and more. He may be a smidge underpriced, but does not have enough upside to make him worthwhile. Ok, in draft sure, lots of guys are worth a look in draft, but that is true for just about everyone I will take the time to write about, so not saying it each time. Happened to say it here. “Cause.
Matthew Suckling
Year | Games | Average | Age | TLA |
2009 | 1 | 56 | 21 | |
2010 | 5 | 57.4 | 22 | |
2011 | 20 | 90.8 | 23 | |
2012 | 22 | 82.7 | 24 | 78 |
2014 | 21 | 77 | 25 | 78 |
2015 | 21 | 73.4 | 26 | 78 |
2016 | 15 | 76 | 27 | 78 |
2017 | 22 | 77.7 | 28 | 78 |
2018 | 11 | 91.5 | 29 | 78 |
2019 | 18 | 83.6 | 30 | 78 |
75-83 | 78 |
At 31, I suspect he will be on the way down, and I sure would not risk taking him. He has somehow managed to bump his average at 29 to what it was at 20, which I sort of think was luck. Or something happened. I have to admit I was not paying attention to him.
Remember the Craggy Island Guarantee, All predictions wrong or triple your money back!
Thanks for reading!
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Got Whitfield at F1 but I’m not sold on Dusty, Heeney or Walters at F2.
Will be watching Gresham closely this Thursday. With the Saints developing some FWD depth over the off-season, word is they’re looking to use him in the guts.
https://www.theaustralian.com.au/sport/afl/st-kilda-to-showcase-newlook-midfield-against-hawthorn/news-story/96cfd31a8d6c39c38b53191f855e8c84
Jade Gresham is going to be very good fantasy player as a forward, however, think 2020 may be where he levels off around the 90 mark.
Entering his 5th season but has reached that 80 game mark so could push to the next level should midfield time increases. Billings spending plenty of time forward may assist but The Saints are an unknown quantity and Gresham’s disposal efficiency and TOG are concerning.
At 177 cm and 79kg he is not a centre clearance midfielder unlike Lachie Neale.
I am not traveling well when I need Group 4 and maybe Group 5 to cover 3 of my forward line! Maybe there’s a message there for me …..
Unfortunately, none of these are particularly enticing. But it’s that sort of year for the forwards.
I was considering Lynch, but after this, I’ll pass. He could still well have a 95+ season considering he’s now fit and actually plays in a team that knows how a forward line should work, unlike the Suns. I’ll be watching.
The other is Gresham, but need to see where he lines up in the pre-season.