Hi Everybody!
Here is the fourth batch of midfielders I want to re-remind people, this is just my personal guessing, and not anything derived from math. Other than the stuff from the Predicting Uber-Premium Midfielders post, link below, that I will be referring back to sometimes. For those new to my ramblings, TLA stands for True Level of Ability, and I wrote about it more here:
https://supercoachtalk.com/luck-skill-and-circumstance-2020/
For those new to my ramblings, TLA stands for True Level of Ability, and I wrote about it more here:
https://supercoachtalk.com/luck-skill-and-circumstance-2020/
Luke Parker
Year | Games | Average | Age | TLA |
2011 | 11 | 52.1 | 18 | |
2012 | 16 | 70.9 | 19 | |
2013 | 22 | 86.9 | 20 | |
2014 | 22 | 108.5 | 21 | 105 |
2015 | 19 | 99.7 | 22 | 105 |
2016 | 22 | 111.9 | 23 | 105 |
2017 | 22 | 99.3 | 24 | 105 |
2018 | 21 | 103.5 | 25 | 105 |
2019 | 22 | 105.1 | 26 | 105 |
99-107 | 105 |
Huh, forgot him, sorry! To sum up, he looks like a 105ish average player, and has for a while. Any year his price is far enough below 105, might be worth a punt on his bouncing back. This year, priced dead on, and 105 is not good enough to start. Darn.
Scott Pendlebury
Year | Games | Average | Age | TLA |
2006 | 9 | 56.8 | 18 | |
2007 | 20 | 88.7 | 19 | |
2008 | 21 | 103.5 | 20 | |
2009 | 20 | 106.5 | 21 | |
2010 | 22 | 110.5 | 22 | |
2011 | 22 | 129.2 | 23 | 125 |
2012 | 18 | 124.7 | 24 | 125 |
2013 | 22 | 126.6 | 25 | 125 |
2014 | 21 | 124.4 | 26 | 125 |
2015 | 22 | 116.2 | 27 | 120 |
2016 | 22 | 118.7 | 28 | 115 |
2017 | 16 | 106.7 | 29 | 110 |
2018 | 21 | 103.5 | 30 | 107 |
2019 | 22 | 104.3 | 31 | 104 |
98-105 | 101 |
Scott may have had a career as close to the theoretical up and down curve as will happen in real life. Dependlebury even as far as his TLA goes! At 32, he’s clearly on the down though. Like Ablett, he has remained real world valuable even though he is not currently Supercoach valuable. As soon as he gets defender status that could change, but as a mid he has little to offer, at least as someone to start with.
Matt Crouch
Year | Games | Average | Age | TLA |
2014 | 8 | 59.2 | 18 | |
2015 | 15 | 68.3 | 19 | |
2016 | 20 | 92.8 | 20 | |
2017 | 22 | 110.6 | 21 | 105 |
2018 | 18 | 101.6 | 22 | 105 |
2019 | 19 | 103.7 | 23 | 105 |
100-110 | 105 |
Wow, he has just flamed right out since 2017. I understand why people started with him last season, I did after all. But last year’s 103 average in 19 games has him on the dodgy list. Since he is just 24, it is way too early to write him off forever, but based on his career so far, I’d stay away. If you start with him and he averages 110 in 22 games, yay, but a small yay, not a YAY! I suspect he will do a bit better than last season, barring more injury. Still not worth a starting spot.
Stephen Coniglio
Year | Games | Average | Age | TLA |
2012 | 12 | 75.8 | 18 | |
2013 | 18 | 74.1 | 19 | |
2014 | 14 | 83.5 | 20 | |
2015 | 18 | 91.7 | 21 | |
2016 | 21 | 105.9 | 22 | 105 |
2017 | 7 | 91.4 | 23 | 105 |
2018 | 21 | 108.4 | 24 | 105 |
2019 | 15 | 101.2 | 25 | 105 |
100-108 | 105 |
My God! His career totally mirrors Matt Crouch! Or, no I pasted Crouch in twice in a row. Nevermind. Let’s try again. Ok, he does have the same TLA estimate as Matt, but that’s an actual coincidence. But in a way he is like Matt, in that he is probably a bit underpriced but not worth taking anyways. Also, he is rather injury prone, so less worth taking the Matt. Is there something in the water at GWS that keeps all of their best players injury risks?
Rory Sloane
Year | Games | Average | Age | TLA |
2009 | 1 | 42 | 18 | |
2010 | 14 | 75.2 | 19 | |
2011 | 18 | 88.3 | 20 | |
2012 | 21 | 106.1 | 21 | 110 |
2013 | 21 | 107 | 22 | 110 |
2014 | 22 | 114.8 | 23 | 110 |
2015 | 16 | 105.5 | 24 | 110 |
2016 | 21 | 108.6 | 25 | 110 |
2017 | 22 | 110.2 | 26 | 110 |
2018 | 12 | 96.6 | 27 | 100 |
2019 | 22 | 103 | 28 | 100 |
97-105 | 100 |
Rapidly aging out of Supercoach relevance. From the above it looks like he never got all the way right after his 2018 injury. He is barely not too old to rule out a shock career year, but that’s not something to bet on. A 22 games of 100 would be right on target, since when not actually out injured he is durable…..which does make sense, you know what I mean by that…
Remember the Craggy Island Guarantee, All predictions wrong or triple your money back!
Thanks for reading!
Leave a comment / Scroll to bottom
Excellent suggestions, thanks FD.