Uncharted Territory – Round 3

Written by The Salamander on April 2 2021

People sometimes wonder where Jake Lloyd gets all his points from. No matter what happens in the game, he always seems to score well. People sometimes put this down to his ‘seagull’ gamestyle, whereby he picks up a lot of cheap uncontested possessions. And, to be sure, there is some correlation between his uncontested possession count and his SuperCoach output:

but it’s not a huge correlation, and there’s a lot of spread. What he does with those possessions tells a somewhat more densely clustered story:

I’ve used 2018-19 scores here, because the general consensus at the moment is that the shorter quarters last year made some of the scores go a bit mental.

Both of those charts suggest to me that he could be vulnerable if an opposition team decided to tag him with a defensive forward, but that doesn’t seem to happen very often.

Meanwhile, with the first batch of price rises just around the corner, coaches everywhere are trying to make sure they’ve got the best rookies locked into their squads. Who are the best rookies? Well, we conducted a poll on this topic earlier in the week, and this is what we found:

Other coaches, happy enough with their rookie setups, have been toying with the idea of bringing in Tex Walker to make some quick cash, on the back of two big scores in the opening two rounds. I didn’t mind the idea myself, either, until I saw this:

Because his scores came in the opening two rounds, they don’t stay in his price cycle for as long as they normally would. This means they won’t make him anywhere near as much cash as they normally would. Unless, of course, he has another big game either this week or next, in which case his price will skyrocket. But you really need that to happen in order to make the two trades he’ll cost you worthwhile.

That’s all I have for you today. If you’ve got any idea for something you’d like to see graphed in a future installment, let me know in the comments, and I’ll see what I can do.


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4 thoughts on “Uncharted Territory – Round 3”

  1. I wouldn’t think 50’s is accurate for a target big forward based on the current rules.

    I wouldn’t expect even one more 140 from Tex, but I wouldn’t be expecting a sudden drop of 90 points per game given his next 4 opponents either.


    1. I saw a lot of people suggesting he’d go back to scoring 50s, so I made that the baseline assumption. The main point I was trying to get across with that chart was that the two 140s he had scored wouldn’t make him as much money as they normally would, because they happened in Rounds 1 and 2. But he went ahead and scored another 130, so that’s a moot point now – big price rises to come!


  2. Berry vs Warner
    On current SC predictions Berry will make most money quicker. So why are people going with Warner ahead of Berry?
    Is it purely Job security?



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