Elite Numbers ’19 – Dan Hannebery (STK)

Written by Schwarzwalder on March 11 2019

(Written & Created By Adam)

Change of scenery, change of luck?

 

Premium History

2014: 101 from 16

2015: 114.5 from 22

2016: 113.36 from 22

 

Avg at Venue:

SCG: 107.82 from 22 (8/22 below 100, 10/22 120+)

2014: 80.8 from 5

2015: 127.63 from 8

2016: 105.22 from 9

 

Interstate: 112.96 from 27 (8/27 below 100, 12/27 120+)

2014: 105 from 7

2015: 107.1 from 10

2016: 124.4 from 10

 

SCG Wins: 108.76 from 17 (6/17 below 100, 7/17 120+)

2014: 84.25 from 4

2015: 126 from 6

2016: 108 from 7

 

SCG Losses: 104.6 from 5 (3/5 below 100, 1/5 120+)

2014: 67 from 1

2015: 132.5 from 2

2016: 95.5 from 2

                                                          

Wins: 112.42 from 45 (13/45 below 100, 19/45 120+)

2014: 102.58 from 12 (5/12 below 100, 4/12 120+)

2015: 117.75 from 16 (5/16 below 100, 8/11 120+)

2016: 114.35 from 17 (3/17 below 100, 7/17 124*-80+)

 

Losses: 104.67 from 15 (6/15 below 100, 6/15 120+)

2014: 96.25 from 4 (2/4 below 100, 1/4 120+)

2015: 105.83 from 6 (2/6 below 100, 2/6 120+)

2016: 110 from 5 (2/5 below 100, 3/5 120+)

 

Pre Bye: 112.76 from 33 (10/33 below 100, 14/33 120+)

2014: 104.78 from 9

2015: 116.09 from 11

2016: 115.46 from 13

 

Post Bye: 107.70 from 27 (9/27 below 100, 11/27 120+)

2014: 96.14 from 7

2015: 112.91 from 11

2016: 110.33 from 9

 

SC 2018: 60.07 from 14

SCG Avg: 55.75 from 8

Interstate Avg: 69.6 from 5

SCG Wins Avg: 61.5 from 4

SCG Losses Avg: 50 from 4

Wins Avg: 64 from 9

Losses Avg: 53 from 5

Pre Bye Avg: 65.44 from 9

Post Bye Avg: 50.4 from 5


 

2018 Stat Averages:

Disposals: 18.29

Kicks: 7.71

Handballs: 10.57

Marks: 2.71

Contested Possessions: 6.43

Tackles: 2.43

Clangers: 3

Time on Ground%: 72%

 

Disposal Efficiency: 65.63%

Contested Possession Rate: 35.16%

 

Premium Career Stat Averages

Disposals:

2014: 25.63

2015: 30.27

2016: 31.32

 

Kicks:

2014: 11.44

2015: 13.32

2016: 14.45

 

Handballs:

2014: 14.19

2015: 16.95

2016: 16.86

 

Marks:

2014: 3.31

2015: 4.27

2016: 3.82

 

Contested Possessions:

2014: 11.06

2015: 11.14

2016: 13.68

 

Tackles:

2014: 5.13

2015: 5.23

2016: 4.55

 

Clangers:

2014: 2.19

2015: 2.41

2016: 3.73

 

Time on Ground %:

2014: 79.75%

2015: 86.45%

2016: 85.73%

 

Disposal Efficiency%:

2014: 70.98%

2015: 70.87%

2016: 67.73%

 

Contested Possession Rate%:

2014: 43.28%

2015: 37.18%

2016: 43.62%

 

Observations:

Premium scoring history:

7.75 win/loss differential.

5.06 pre-bye/post bye differential.

2018:

1st season averaging below 80 since his debut season in 2009.

1st time averaging below 95 since 2012 with 3 seasons averaging 100+ and 2 seasons averaging in excess of 110+.

 

Heavily discounted due to injuries hampering his performance over the last 2 seasons and Hannebery has dropped drastically from averaging just shy of 114 in 2016 and averaging 30 disposals to 95 and 25 in 2017 and then 19 and 60 last year. A shift to St Kilda will be extremely beneficial for Hannebery who could return to a 95+ avg if he manages to stay fit for the majority of the season as he should comfortably increase his disposal averages, contested averages (tackles, contested possessions, etc) and his time on ground % (only 72% in 2018).

The main deterrence will be the injury risk as a hallmark of Hannebery’s game was his two-way running in conjunction with the ability to effectively play inside and outside and if these issues are constant or evident throughout the JLT/early season then he will struggle to be a worthwhile selection.

Verdict: Strongly consider for M5-M6

 

**Again, keep in mind that Adam wrote these in early December…..before Hanners’ injury*

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