With the hubs moving to Sydney and Perth, just wanted to a give a quick disclaimer not to read into some candidates’ last three at a particular ground as much as you usually would given how far back I’ve had to go. Eg. for Neale’s last 3 at the SCG I had to go back to 2014 seeing though he hasn’t played up there that much – while still important, venues shouldn’t be weighted as heavily as opponent, form and history in some cases.
NEALE v Cats
- L3 v Cats: 103, 132, 83 (106 av.)
- L3 @ SCG: 110, 44, 86 (80 av.)
Not expecting Neale to score like he does up at the Gabba, but his form is hot that you’ve got to bring him into your calculations. Hard to see him falling short of 130.
MITCHELL v Pies
- L3 v Pies: 167, 158, 128 (151 av.)
- L3 @ GS: 101, 181, 98 (127 av.)
Teased owners with a taste of old Titch two weeks ago. Got a feeling he goes big against the Pies with a 140~. Feeling so strong on Titch that I might deal with Rowell later and bring him in this week!
YEO v Crows
- L3 v Crows: 98, 115, 94 (102 av.)
- L3 @ Gabba: 71, 83, 91 (82 av.)
Been trying to keep things quiet on Yeo as I was hoping to have him all to myself as a POD lol. Returned to his best last week with team high tackles and CBAs and an elite pressure rating. With the Crows barely a team, he’s a lock for 120 minimum.
GAWN v Suns
- L3 v Suns: 109, 148, 112 (123 av.)
- L3 @ GS: 55* (55 av.)
Initially dismissed Gawn because he’s coming up against an established ruckman in Witts. However Fort and Ratugolea were able to match Witts for hit-outs last week, so Gawn will be solid for 130. Only played at GS once in 2013.
KELLY v Port
- L3 v Port: 130, 92, 90 (104 av.)
- L3 @ MS: 124, 75, 92 (97 av.)
Clicked into form as predicted last week, just finding so much space on the wing. Intense match-ups between the inside MIDs should again free up Kelly again. A safe bet for 120. Whitfield may also be worth a look.
BONTEMPELLI v Blues
- L3 v Blues: 112, 104, 145 (120 av.)
- L3 @ MS: 58* (58 av.)
Bont will look to respond strongly after being being muzzled last week. With the Blues yet to use Curnow to tag this season, Bont should be good for 125. Only played at MS once in 2014.
FYFE v Saints
- L3 v Saints: 63, 145, 126 (111 av.)
- L3 @ MS: 71, 166, 124 (120 av.)
Apparently Fyfe is set to play this week (this article is published before teamsheets are out), which is great for those who held him – however he’ll certainly have managed minutes and the attention of Steele, sub-ton incoming.
MACRAE v Blues
- L3 v Blues: 150, 97, 141 (129 av.)
- L3 @ MS: 97, 101* (99 av.)
Macrae returned to playing on the ball last week with team high CBAs and even then he didn’t ton up. No doubt in a spot of poor form, but his history v Blues means he might be worth a cheeky look. History at MS dates back to 2013 and 2014.
Probably Neale into Gawn for me this week. Becoming repetitive, but their form and ceiling is just irresistible!
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