Small or Far Away, Father Dougal on Cows

Hi Everybody!

 

What is real?

I’m not gonna answer that for reasons of self preservation!

Pumpkin seeds!

And what is not real?

You completing your team with all premos this year!

Aww, I was going to say that? How about lots of people having money issues and not being able to complete their teams they way we expect?

Sadly and surprisingly accurately, yes

This season is the worst for cash generation I can remember. Some of the best cash cows are not even widely owned and the sub rule has really hurt a number of players. But, no matter why, there is less cash floating around than normal. That mean less to spend on upgrades and that means figuring out where to skimp.

I am thinking it is most important to get all the rookies off the field you can and replace them with low cost per point players. I know I say stuff like this a lot, because low per point is good in general. But, we also want to maximize total points and in a normal year that means low cost per point from the set up top or close to top players. this year, I think that means from the set up player with solid jobs who are not as close to the top.  The farther from the top, the better the discount needs to be. But, player lacking a discount may not be worth getting even if they are in the top group. If getting those best players in means getting stuck with rookies all season, I’d be slow to bring them in.

Who!?!?!

There are other people on the site who can tell you who. I’m not so good at who…

For sure!

…but the way we need to deal with the cash crunch is pretty clear. So’s I am pointing it out anyways, because, um, that is what I do.

Along with the numbers

Right

That you make the Hamster do and take credit for

Right!

I get paid in Pumpkin seeds, and lack of cats!

And is worth every seed!

 

Defenders 

Sheezel: Bounded back. Not a surprise. I am still expecting to own him at the end of the year, barring injury. That said, a lot of very good looking rookies fade their first year, so it will not be a shock if he slows down at some point. But, so far from a worry right now. 

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		198,300
1	114	198,300
2	114	198,300
3	120	198,300
4	111	304,500
5	100	381,800
6	53	431,600
7	107	438,800
8	102.7	443,200
9	102.7	447,651	4,451	4,451
10	102.7	473,493	25,842	30,293
11	102.7	490,705	17,212	47,505
12	102.7	503,464	12,758	60,264
13	102.7	512,921	9,457	69,721
14	102.7	519,931	7,010	76,731
15	102.7	525,127	5,196	81,927

Ginbey:  That 39 is gonna slow him down. Three of his last four score have sucked, and the one that didn’t suck was a 62, which blows.

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		171,300
1	85	171,300
2	76	171,300
3	104	171,300
4	40	246,900
5	51	282,500
6	62	296,800
7	39	288,900
8	65.3	283,100
9	65.3	285,251	2,151	2,151
10	65.3	288,335	3,084	5,235
11	65.3	302,540	14,206	19,440
12	65.3	313,070	10,530	29,970
13	65.3	320,875	7,805	37,775
14	65.3	326,661	5,786	43,561
15	65.3	330,949	4,289	47,849

McKenna:  If Rich is indeed hurt his scores may improve again. No rush to trade, probably a keep.

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		167,500
1	93	167,500
2	78	167,500
3	57	167,500
4	86	227,300
5	55	268,500
6	57	287,800
7	70	302,600
8	70.9	306,900
9	70.9	317,209	10,309	10,309
10	70.9	331,133	13,925	24,233
11	70.9	341,844	10,710	34,944
12	70.9	349,783	7,939	42,883
13	70.9	355,668	5,885	48,768
14	70.9	360,030	4,362	53,130
15	70.9	363,263	3,233	56,363

Wilmot: He did pretty well last week, and no rush to get rid this week.

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		123,900
1	51	123,900
2	68	123,900
3	69	123,900
4	50	176,900
5	68	215,700
6	39	243,900
7	63	251,600
8	58.3	263,600
9	58.3	268,076	4,476	4,476
10	58.3	280,138	12,063	16,538
11	58.3	286,942	6,804	23,342
12	58.3	291,985	5,043	28,385
13	58.3	295,724	3,738	32,124
14	58.3	298,495	2,771	34,895
15	58.3	300,549	2,054	36,949

Cowan: 

Last Week:  If he loses his job he will be a classic “problem” – not worth keeping or trading.

This Week:  Did not play.  We have a problem

 

L Jones: He did make some money last week, but now looks like he needs to go.  He could, any game, put up an 80 but more likely another 50.

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		228,100
1	5	228,100
2	76	228,100
3	68	228,100
4	45	236,300
5	88	260,600
6	53	283,400
7	54	293,900
8	55.6	306,300
9	55.6	300,763	-5,537	-5,537
10	55.6	297,825	-2,938	-8,475
11	55.6	296,360	-1,465	-9,940
12	55.6	295,274	-1,086	-11,026
13	55.6	294,469	-805	-11,831
14	55.6	293,872	-597	-12,428
15	55.6	293,430	-442	-12,870

Michalanney: Another low score, lost money, looks ready to lose more.

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		135,300
1	62	135,300
2	48	135,300
3	82	135,300
4	103	187,200
5	60	244,200
6	50	291,100
7	51	311,800
8	65.1	304,100
9	65.1	300,752	-3,348	-3,348
10	65.1	305,137	4,385	1,037
11	65.1	314,801	9,664	10,701
12	65.1	321,964	7,163	17,864
13	65.1	327,273	5,310	23,173
14	65.1	331,209	3,936	27,109
15	65.1	334,126	2,917	30,026

Buckley:  May be saying “At his average there is no rush at all to trade out.” for a while.

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		205,000
1	76	205,000
2	99	205,000
3	99	205,000
4	80	275,900
5	78	330,300
6	87	360,100
7	91	377,400
8	87.1	395,800
9	87.1	413,617	17,817	17,817
10	87.1	426,888	13,271	31,088
11	87.1	434,976	8,088	39,176
12	87.1	440,972	5,995	45,172
13	87.1	445,416	4,444	49,616
14	87.1	448,710	3,294	52,910
15	87.1	451,152	2,442	55,352

Stocker: He seems pretty stable.  Could trade, but also could hold. I feel like he would be a slower out than a lot of players with less JS.  Not worried he will lose his job, which is great! 

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		216,400
1	74	216,400
2	74	216,400
3	70	216,400
4	77	258,900
5	78	291,100
6	58	317,400
7	69	331,300
8	71.4	338,500
9	71.4	340,891	2,391	2,391
10	71.4	348,753	7,862	10,253
11	71.4	355,682	6,929	17,182
12	71.4	360,818	5,136	22,318
13	71.4	364,625	3,807	26,125
14	71.4	367,446	2,822	28,946
15	71.4	369,538	2,092	31,038

Midfielders

 

Ashcroft:  Sweet, sweet ton! Do not trade and collect whatever, keep passing go and get points on field.  Might be 70 but that is way better than lots of other cows and he has money incoming.

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		202,800
1	55	202,800
2	105	202,800
3	80	202,800
4	75	258,800
5	72	309,400
6	76	331,100
7	103	345,900
8	80.9	370,200
9	80.9	392,244	22,044	22,044
10	80.9	410,786	18,543	40,586
11	80.9	414,490	3,704	44,290
12	80.9	417,236	2,745	47,036
13	80.9	419,271	2,035	49,071
14	80.9	420,779	1,508	50,579
15	80.9	421,897	1,118	51,697

Baker: I am still afraid to trade out the one guy I have who has very solid job security.  The way things are going he’ll end up my only mid cover. Also making money still.

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		123,900
1	43	123,900
2	55	123,900
3	95	123,900
4	47	179,200
5	53	222,000
6	59	252,100
7	69	258,500
8	60.1	273,700
9	60.1	288,194	14,494	14,494
10	60.1	299,456	11,262	25,756
11	60.1	303,788	4,332	30,088
12	60.1	306,999	3,211	33,299
13	60.1	309,379	2,380	35,679
14	60.1	311,143	1,764	37,443
15	60.1	312,450	1,308	38,750

Hollands:  Remains himself. If he is 60 each week for a while, ell, he can go when you need to trade him, and at least he has not thrown up a total spud score.

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		162,300
1	56	162,300
2	71	162,300
3	66	162,300
4	52	207,600
5	65	239,300
6	60	259,400
7	60	272,100
8	61.4	285,600
9	61.4	293,970	8,370	8,370
10	61.4	300,823	6,852	15,223
11	61.4	306,550	5,727	20,950
12	61.4	310,795	4,245	25,195
13	61.4	313,942	3,147	28,342
14	61.4	316,274	2,333	30,674
15	61.4	318,003	1,729	32,403

Callaghan: If you own him you have other player to get rid first; doing too well to harvest now I feel.

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		244,000
1	101	244,000
2	45	244,000
3	37	244,000
4	65	263,600
5	72	261,700
6	77	271,900
7	88	298,800
8	69.3	328,300
9	69.3	349,590	21,290	21,290
10	69.3	361,873	12,283	33,573
11	69.3	362,492	619	34,192
12	69.3	362,951	459	34,651
13	69.3	363,291	340	34,991
14	69.3	363,543	252	35,243
15	69.3	363,729	187	35,429

Rucks

 

Ratugolea:  Well, darn. Nice 80s, sad 40s, week to week which you get.

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		174,000
1	55	174,000
2	31	174,000
3	47	174,000
4	88	189,000
5	88	215,100
6	75	259,600
7	43	305,700
8	61.0	320,000
9	61.0	318,368	-1,632	-1,632
10	61.0	310,810	-7,558	-9,190
11	61.0	313,370	2,560	-6,630
12	61.0	315,267	1,897	-4,733
13	61.0	316,674	1,406	-3,326
14	61.0	317,716	1,043	-2,284
15	61.0	318,489	773	-1,511

Forwards

 

Mackenzie: Did not play. Maybe he’s really “Spuds” Mackenzie

Greene:  Was going to have an off game sooner or later.  His projections based on average are a little misleading. Odds are he beats it and goes up a little, or is below it and goes down. Do you feel lucky?

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		123,900
1	33	123,900
2	49	123,900
3	51	123,900
4	73	151,900
5	76	190,900
6	77	231,400
7	28	273,500
8	55.3	284,800
9	55.3	283,790	-1,010	-1,010
10	55.3	273,195	-10,595	-11,605
11	55.3	277,714	4,519	-7,086
12	55.3	281,064	3,350	-3,736
13	55.3	283,547	2,483	-1,253
14	55.3	285,388	1,841	588
15	55.3	286,752	1,364	1,952

Phillipou: Double Bleck!

Last week: His next rounds score will be crucial.

This week: A 20? After a 39? Price going down like a….thing that goes down really fast.

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		166,800
1	76	166,800
2	59	166,800
3	51	166,800
4	61	207,700
5	67	231,200
6	39	251,700
7	20	261,800
8	53.3	251,200
9	53.3	237,118	-14,082	-14,082
10	53.3	233,158	-3,960	-18,042
11	53.3	245,316	12,158	-5,884
12	53.3	254,328	9,012	3,128
13	53.3	261,009	6,680	9,809
14	53.3	265,960	4,952	14,760
15	53.3	269,631	3,670	18,431

Phillips: Did not play

Chandler:

Last Week: He’s going up more after an 85.

This week: And lots more after a 104!

Week	Score	Price	Proj. Change	Total Proj
0		123,900
1	93	123,900
2	71	123,900
3	90	123,900
4	59	206,800
5	56	252,800
6	85	279,400
7	104	297,200
8	79.7	331,400
9	79.7	367,500	36,100	36,100
10	79.7	391,862	24,362	60,462
11	79.7	398,908	7,046	67,508
12	79.7	404,130	5,223	72,730
13	79.7	408,002	3,871	76,602
14	79.7	410,871	2,870	79,471
15	79.7	412,998	2,127	81,598

Dodgy Advice: 

 

Remember the Cow Talk guarantee: “All predictions wrong or triple your money back!”  (Offer not valid if money is actually involved.)

I am time zonally challenged.  When Cow Talk goes live, I’m probably asleep, so replies from me may take a while.

Thanks for reading!

 

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