Where and when: MCG, Sunday June 2, 3.20pm AEST
Last time they met: MCG, round 8, 2018: Carlton 14.7 (91) defeated Essendon 10.18 (78)
Carlton registered its first win of the season against its arch rival in a dogged display at the MCG. The loss was Essendon’s lowest ebb of 2018 before it made a late, albeit unsuccessful, rally to try and make the finals.
What it means for Essendon: A loss here will all but end the Bombers’ finals hopes if they fall to 4-7 before their round 12 bye. Essendon is injury hit but must find a way to overcome the 18th-placed Blues, however, its history against sides it is expected to beat is poor in recent years (it has lost to the wooden spooners the past two seasons and the 18th-placed Swans in round eight this year).
What it means for Carlton: The Blues should see this as a real opportunity to win. They have been up and down the past month, with more respectable defeats to Collingwood and St Kilda in between shockers to North Melbourne and Greater Western Sydney. Carlton will enter the clash knowing it has had Essendon’s measure at times in recent years.
How Essendon wins: The Bombers need to keep this a low-scoring affair because they have lost a lot of their firepower around goal. Also, somehow finding a way to limit Patrick Cripps would go a long way to Essendon claiming victory. That’s much easier said than done.
How Carlton wins: Essendon will give its opposition chances to score, the Blues just have to be good enough to make the most of them. If they can pressure the Bombers as they try to move the ball out of half-back the Blues will be a big sniff to claim their second win of the year.
The stat: Since the clubs’ draw in round 23, 2014, neither of Essendon or Carlton have been able to string together consecutive wins against each other. A Bombers victory would continue the back-and-forth trend.
The match-up: The AFL Player Ratings ranks Andrew McGrath at No.210 overall, with Carlton counterpart Sam Walsh at No.483. Walsh is in his first season and McGrath in his third, but the No.1 draft choices could square-off at some stage in the midfield.
It’s a big week for: Mitch McGovern. The Blues recruit managed only five disposals and three marks against St Kilda last week.
Father Dougal’s Tip: Call me mad, but I think this time the Blues will take hang on and win. Carlton by 10 points.
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NO LATE CHANGES
FINAL INTERCHANGES
Essendon: Darcy Parish, Kyle Langford, Mason Redman, Matt Guelfi
Carlton: Paddy Dow, Matt Kennedy, Liam Stocker, Alex Fasolo
Anyone advise on the weather conditions in Melbourne?
thinking of putting the C on Crips rather than taking Grundys VC
TU C on Crips
TD Take Grundy 124
Cold in Melbourne atm, BoM saying there’s an 85% chance of rain.
cheers GD…going to take the punt on Cripps (fingers crossed emoji)
Np, think you can back Cripps in for 120+ today.
Got to play either
TU gibbons
TD stocker
Bolton using E. Curnow as a tagger again, he’s gone straight to Zerrett.
and Woosha has countered by sending Clarke to Cripps.
Who gets sacked first?
TU: Bolton
TD: Worsfold
bevo
Come on Carlton!
Rain is coming down!
Man, Merrett better grow a pair and learn to deal with a tag … second week in a row he’s been tagged and he’s hopeless … every team will tag them if this continues….
soft outside player , has always been that way
Low quality game – and I’m a bomber man *sad face*
Essendon Bombers: 5.4.34
Dyson Heppell* 87
Michael Hurley 74
Darcy Parish 64
David Zaharakis 63
Cale Hooker 62
Conor McKenna 61
Kyle Langford 57
Dylan Clarke 51
Andrew McGrath 45
Mason Redman 43
Aaron Francis 41
Matt Guelfi 40
Jayden Laverde 39
Tom Bellchambers 37
A. M-Tipungwuti 32
Adam Saad 27
Josh Begley 25
Zach Merrett 23
Ben McNiece 23
Mark Baguley 20
Patrick Ambrose 14
Shaun McKernan 8
Carlton Blues: 2.4.16
Nic Newman 50
Patrick Cripps 50
Matthew Kreuzer 49
Caleb Marchbank 46
Michael Gibbons 44
Harry McKay 42
Jacob Weitering 40
Paddy Dow 37
Lachlan Plowman 36
Liam Stocker 36
David Cuningham 35
Ed Curnow 34
Sam Walsh 32
Will Setterfield 32
S. Petrevski-Seton 31
Charlie Curnow 30
Matthew Kennedy 25
Jack Silvagni 22
Levi Casboult 22
Darcy Lang 22
Zac Fisher 20
Alex Fasolo 16
Hopefully Merrett is looking for a heart at halftime …
What does Carlton need to do to win this?
Kick goals.
Really, Walsh? That’s the score you’re going with?
Thought he’d be doing alright with big dog Cripps tagged. Ugh.
The rain must be impacting them
rookies get tired mid season
Walsh is also still more of an outside player – without Cripps, his supply dries up.
its his fitness that gets him his pts
gets to every contest , all over the ground
bit like gaz @ the suns
Had to wait for Walsh to get some unicorn upgrades there at the end of that quarter … Bombers still up … and tag lifted off Merrett and his scores go up …
Essendon Bombers: 8.5.53
Dyson Heppell* 118
Michael Hurley 108
Cale Hooker 84
Kyle Langford 82
Darcy Parish 79
Conor McKenna 77
Matt Guelfi 74
Dylan Clarke 71
David Zaharakis 71
Tom Bellchambers 68
Andrew McGrath 67
Jayden Laverde 66
A. M-Tipungwuti 64
Zach Merrett 54
Ben McNiece 51
Mason Redman 50
Adam Saad 44
Mark Baguley 43
Aaron Francis 42
Josh Begley 36
Patrick Ambrose 28
Shaun McKernan 18
Carlton Blues: 4.8.32
Matthew Kreuzer 87
Charlie Curnow 80
Patrick Cripps 71
Caleb Marchbank 64
Nic Newman 63
Jacob Weitering 63
S. Petrevski-Seton 57
Paddy Dow 57
Sam Walsh 56
Will Setterfield 56
Ed Curnow 53
Liam Stocker 53
Michael Gibbons 50
Harry McKay 47
Lachlan Plowman 43
Levi Casboult 40
David Cuningham 38
Jack Silvagni 37
Matthew Kennedy 29
Zac Fisher 28
Darcy Lang 27
Alex Fasolo 19
recon cripps is gna struggle for the rest of the year
has had too bigga workload , bashed from pillar to post
shoulda traded him out @ 700k & banked the cash
Cripps great player but way too unreliable as c!
gna drop under 500k soon
Only 3 scores below 90 in his last 33 games is hardly unreliable.
How did Cripps manage 85 from 2 kicks and 9 handballs?
he’s in all the CD scorers teams 😉
It wouldn’t surprise me, sadly
Magic!
Essendon Bombers: 11.8.74
Dyson Heppell* 153
Michael Hurley 132
Darcy Parish 127
Cale Hooker 106
A. M-Tipungwuti 103
Andrew McGrath 100
Dylan Clarke 99
Conor McKenna 96
Matt Guelfi 95
Kyle Langford 95
Zach Merrett 88
Tom Bellchambers 86
David Zaharakis 85
Jayden Laverde 82
Ben McNiece 69
Mason Redman 67
Mark Baguley 66
Adam Saad 60
Josh Begley 46
Aaron Francis 46
Patrick Ambrose 37
Shaun McKernan 25
Carlton Blues: 4.9.33
Matthew Kreuzer 119
Charlie Curnow 90
Patrick Cripps 85
Caleb Marchbank 80
Jacob Weitering 78
S. Petrevski-Seton 76
Ed Curnow 73
Levi Casboult 72
Paddy Dow 71
Nic Newman 70
Sam Walsh 67
Will Setterfield 64
Liam Stocker 61
Michael Gibbons 60
Harry McKay 58
David Cuningham 56
Lachlan Plowman 51
Jack Silvagni 42
Zac Fisher 36
Darcy Lang 32
Matthew Kennedy 30
Alex Fasolo 28